Allow me, if you will, to take a brief break from the usual subject matter to talk about politics. Canada has just had a general election and the results are, from my point of view, dismal.
For those of you who are unaware, Canada elects our prime minister indirectly. The country is divided into electoral districts, or ridings, based on population; the residents of the riding elect a representative, who is affiliated with a political party (note: there are independent candidates as well, but the majority of those running for office are party-based). Whichever political party has the most representatives forms the government, and the leader of that party becomes the prime minister.
There are 308 seats in Canadian Parliament; 155 are needed to form a majority government. If the ruling party has less than 155 seats, but has more than any one of the other parties, it is a minority government (this is incredibly confusing if you haven’t encountered it before, but the numbers following will help, I hope). This means it’s kind of unstable and could fall at any time due to a non-confidence vote, which essentially means that the electorate has lost faith in their government and an election will be called.
Our previous government was a minority, and our Conservative prime minister called an election (breaking his own fixed date law in the process, I might add) in the hopes that he would win a majority. Not so, my hero. Let’s check it out.
The data
Unofficial numbers of the 40th Parliament, as of just before midnight Eastern:
Conservative 143
Liberal 76
Bloc 49
NDP 38
Other 2
All right, let’s have a look at this. Here are the numbers of the 39th Parliament upon its election in 2006:
Conservative 124
Liberal 103
Bloc 51
NDP 29
Other (Independent) 1
The tally
Okay. So that means a net gain for Harper’s Conservatives of just under twenty seats. This is a pretty strong showing — especially considering that the Liberals lost nearly thirty seats, and many of those probably went blue. This is a colossal disappointment for Dion and company, and means there will definitely be some shakeups there fairly soon.
Layton and Duceppe, however, are doing pretty well; the New Democrats picked up nine seats, including a key spot in Québec, and the Bloc managed to hover around their previous numbers (they do have a majority over the Conservatives in their province). Unfortunately, the Greens yet again did not pick up a single seat despite party leader Elizabeth May’s bold predictions of up to eight elected MPs; indeed, even May lost her race against Central Nova incumbent Peter MacKay, Conservative.
The grumbling
The only other prime minister in Canadian history to win back-to-back minority governments was Lester B. Pearson, in 1963 and 1965. This is more of a point of interest than anything else. Pearson was also a Liberal.
Stephen Harper essentially wasted $300 million of Canadians’ money on this election, and he didn’t get what he wanted. In the latter days of the campaign, he was quoted as saying he would be happy with another minority — but he won’t be entirely happy about it. He called this election to win a majority, and he didn’t. Still, he gets to keep his job … which is more than some people can say.
Liberal leader Stéphane Dion is in for some major trials, which will likely cost him his job. The Liberals have posted one of the worst showings in history, losing almost thirty seats between elections. Dion was a long shot to win the leadership in the first place, and took far too long to prove himself an effective leader; he did excellently in the final weeks of the campaign, but by then it was too late. For the record, I really like Dion and I think he could be a terrific leader, but unfortunately, it just doesn’t seem to be in the cards. The party will likely be expecting him to step down in the coming weeks to avoid a costly leadership convention, and candidates like Bob Rae and Michael Ignatieff will step up to battle for his job.
I’d also like to address the problem of the Bloc Québécois. Here they are calling themselves a federal party, yet they only run candidates in one province, and their mandate only covers that province. I understand that there are separatists out there, but — if you’ll pardon me — in terms of being a national party, I think they can stuff it. If you’re running in a federal election, you cover the entire country. Case closed. It should be illegal to do what the Bloc is doing, and unfortunately, it is not. I don’t agree with their inclusion in the general election, and I think those candidates would be better served in the Liberal party.
That being said, Gilles Duceppe is totally awesome and should be our prime minister (provided he drops the Québec-first business).
On Québec being recognized as a separate nation, etc: I read an editorial the other day that said mothers with more than one kid might have a favourite, but if they put that in writing or even just say it, it’s total disaster. The same goes for putting one province’s interest above all the rest so blatantly. What about the aboriginal culture in the north, or the hodgepodge of influences in the Atlantic provinces? What about the Acadian and French heritage in New Brunswick (very similar to Québec’s)? The Québec thing implies that the other provinces are less important, and that’s the last kind of division we need.
In short, I hope at least one country does something right.
(These views are mine, I’m not trying to offend anyone, yes you are welcome to debate or challenge my views — or, heaven forbid, agree with me — and no, those tallies are not official numbers. And no, I don’t officially endorse Stéphane Dion, Gilles Duceppe, Barack Obama or anyone else I mentioned in a faintly positive light.)
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canada,
editorial,
politics