Breaking news: Coalition
November 30th, 2008 at 11.16pm (News)
NDP, Liberals reach deal to topple minority government
A deal has been negotiated between NDP Leader Jack Layton and Liberal Leader Stéphane Dion that would see them form a coalition government for two and a half years, the CBC’s Keith Boag reported, citing sources.
The NDP would be invited into cabinet and get 25 per cent of seats, Boag said, adding that the party wouldn’t get the position of the finance chair or the deputy prime minister’s post.
We’re in a really sticky situation here, and I suspect that instead of becoming the beacon of Canadian democracy everyone is hoping for, it will just piss off the entire country instead of the majority who didn’t vote for Stephen Harper and the Conservatives.
On one hand, a majority of Canadians did not vote for the ruling party. This means that ousting him is likely a good development for most of the country, and will potentially make up for the fairly useless and expensive election we just experienced. No Harper means that the substantial left wing will be better represented in government.
However, as much as I’d like to see him become Prime Minister, Stéphane Dion is hardly in a position to govern at this point. He has led the Liberal Party to a crushing defeat, lost support from his party, and agreed to step down in May 2009. A leader that has already effectively resigned is not the most logical choice to suddenly govern the nation. Layton would be a difficult choice as well, though, considering his party’s small showing in the House and his own current problems. Had the Liberals finished with a leadership convention, this would be a little less of an issue, but as it stands you can already see the Conservatives shouting insults at the coalition plan.
Since the BQ are not entering into the coalition (but have said they will support it, which also means that the coalition has to support them pretty substantially), the numbers look a little questionable too. The Conservatives currently have 143 seats in the House of Commons; the Liberals and NDP combined have 114. With the support of the BQ’s 46 seats the coalition has a majority, but the Bloc is neither obligated nor expected to vote completely with the new government. In fact, it is certain there will be at least a handful who vote with the Conservatives. This is a shaky situation.
It would be nice, though, to show Harper that breaking his own fixed-election law was an unwise idea, and that the recent (now reversed) proposal to cut the public subsidy for political parties was not appreciated. The Conservatives rely much less on the public funding than the opposition does, of course, and so the move was widely viewed as a badly disguised attempt to destroy the opposition. “Sticking it to the man”, though, is not an entirely credible move in federal Parliament.
The CBC has posted a question-and-answer with a political science professor on how the coalition might work, and he has refused to even speculate on what a coalition between the Liberals and the New Democrats might look like. It is almost completely unprecedented, and the situation is very precarious. It’s impossible to determine who really would lead, though Dion says he believes he has the right to do so.
This coalition, though, is probably the only option. With Harper’s Conservatives floundering around and still half-denying the economic crisis, the opposition was bound to defeat them sooner or later (the vote will happen on December 8); they do not seem to be catering to the needs of the average Canadian. But will this coalition be any better? I’d love to hear your thoughts, because I am a little up in the air.
The fun never stops on Parliament Hill!
(I apologise for the lack of sources other than the CBC — I was just reading the site and linked to various posts. I hope you’ll forgive my unintended bias.)
Tags: canada, oh the controversy!, politics